Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.247588 0.284728 0.324653 0.370656 0.422089 0.477710 0.542296
2025-12-28 0.193493 0.244908 0.304633 0.378671 0.467488 0.570084 0.697000
2026-01-04 0.154813 0.214456 0.288904 0.387510 0.513388 0.667313 0.868200
2026-01-11 0.122744 0.185512 0.269410 0.387586 0.547234 0.752624 1.033555
2026-01-18 0.098309 0.161563 0.251777 0.386318 0.577675 0.835281 1.202476
2026-01-25 0.079310 0.141341 0.235456 0.383516 0.604288 0.913923 1.371799
2026-02-01 0.064799 0.124877 0.221563 0.381453 0.630444 0.992849 1.546660
2026-02-08 0.053284 0.110828 0.208840 0.378752 0.654259 1.069142 1.722334
2026-02-15 0.043760 0.098163 0.196105 0.373771 0.673076 1.138366 1.891401
2026-02-22 0.037835 0.090916 0.191358 0.381015 0.711358 1.239188 2.113811
2026-03-01 0.031551 0.081521 0.181110 0.377054 0.730072 1.309858 2.293334
2026-03-08 0.026913 0.074529 0.174182 0.377892 0.756457 1.393926 2.498301
2026-03-15 0.022269 0.066510 0.164105 0.371861 0.770686 1.459897 2.680113
2026-03-22 0.020098 0.063912 0.164824 0.386795 0.824107 1.595485 2.984683
2026-03-29 0.018066 0.061175 0.164797 0.400147 0.875615 1.730988 3.296765
2026-04-05 0.015607 0.056643 0.159977 0.402908 0.906997 1.832944 3.557165
2026-04-12 0.013378 0.052125 0.154397 0.403240 0.933423 1.927368 3.809297
2026-04-19 0.011378 0.047686 0.148201 0.401335 0.954955 2.013844 4.051622
2026-04-26 0.009701 0.043743 0.142528 0.399801 0.976870 2.102007 4.301089
2026-05-03 0.008244 0.040049 0.136815 0.397362 0.996454 2.186599 4.547936
2026-05-10 0.006927 0.036372 0.130429 0.392398 1.009982 2.260008 4.777420
2026-05-17 0.006177 0.034622 0.129221 0.400087 1.051695 2.390578 5.119340
2026-05-24 0.005217 0.031620 0.123707 0.396042 1.066710 2.468820 5.365807